How can the outlook contribute to the development of Ethiopian energy sector?

The Outlook has been developed in close coopera-tion with all partners with strong commitment, openness and good discussions. It is the ambition that the Outlook in the same way can contribute to the development of the Ethiopian energy sector. 1. Executive Summary

Can Ethiopia supply a larger economy than today?

Ethiopia could supply a much larger economy than today in the AC, using only twice the energy, were it to diversify its energy mix and implement efficiency standards. In the AC, this diversification comes about as a result of a substantial expansion of geothermal energy along with increased use of oil within industry and for cooking. IEA.

Why are energy infrastructure projects not working in Ethiopia?

Internal national security concerns continue to af-fect energy infrastructure projects. Conflicts in Su-dan, South Sudan, Yemen, and Somalia are delay-ing Ethiopia’s ability to strengthen energy cooperation with neighbouring countries and ex-port electricity.

How much electricity does Ethiopia produce in 2040?

The share of so-lar in electricity generation reaches 17% in 2040. Ethiopia’s net electricity exports until 2036 will pri-marily be driven by large-scale hydropower invest-ments. However, net import of electricity is ex-pected from 2038, as the pace of demand growth in Ethiopia exceeds that of supply, in the least-cost development. See Figure 6.4.

Should large-scale hydropower be deployed at multiple sites in Ethiopia?

The early deployment of large-scale hydropower at multiple sites in Ethiopia should be prioritised. In-vestments in hydropower serve as the key driver of electricity exports in the medium term, thereby providing a source of foreign currency.

How much does a solar PV system cost in Ethiopia?

These cost structures align with Ethiopia's export tariffs to Kenya, which are priced at USD 6.5 cents per kWh. Currently, there are practically no roof-top solar PV systems in Ethiopia. With the planned increase in the tariff, many households and businesses may find it attractive with small individual solar PV sys-tems.